Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 11.197226 12.782498 14.518218 16.560731 18.899958 21.497056 24.601676
2026-01-25 8.833533 10.859514 13.250208 16.283252 20.034950 24.531585 30.342886
2026-02-01 7.430490 9.627713 12.362161 16.022691 20.807258 26.866094 35.149680
2026-02-08 6.422517 8.688164 11.633632 15.754916 21.392640 28.864368 39.568506
2026-02-15 5.645393 7.927144 11.007935 15.487387 21.862837 30.654642 43.775851
2026-02-22 5.310931 7.714404 11.073069 16.130497 23.593759 34.266391 50.803380
2026-03-01 4.917932 7.366194 10.895823 16.382487 24.750351 37.119695 56.954357
2026-03-08 4.499260 6.931561 10.540043 16.315899 25.396350 39.235873 62.143307
2026-03-15 4.121857 6.518814 10.171010 16.178768 25.895699 41.135435 67.122522
2026-03-22 3.945725 6.399418 10.235190 16.713171 27.481380 44.843423 75.314508
2026-03-29 3.767489 6.257559 10.245790 17.151304 28.932194 48.432659 83.607867
2026-04-05 3.633731 6.174555 10.339784 17.726424 30.646545 52.580215 93.203751
2026-04-12 3.323050 5.771114 9.874570 17.320529 30.660118 53.862745 97.943593
2026-04-19 3.065161 5.436723 9.498492 17.034552 30.853104 55.462974 103.389327
2026-04-26 2.835982 5.132975 9.149142 16.761482 31.035472 57.040803 108.908375
2026-05-03 2.628252 4.850297 8.813332 16.481008 31.171828 58.529815 114.368465
2026-05-10 2.440251 4.588382 8.493598 16.200794 31.277786 59.956469 119.812859
2026-05-17 2.397979 4.595658 8.669644 16.874409 33.269676 65.139613 133.196347
2026-05-24 2.304598 4.497217 8.637715 17.138362 34.471730 68.867804 143.938622
2026-05-31 2.177582 4.323032 8.446438 17.068612 34.992129 71.267295 152.108152
2026-06-07 2.052079 4.142139 8.228092 16.924971 35.344896 73.344517 159.762062
2026-06-14 2.012521 4.131762 8.347444 17.484752 37.211205 78.711047 175.070707
2026-06-21 1.963737 4.098409 8.417000 17.943711 38.896653 83.824537 190.277064